
Federal Reserve suggests it may cut interest rates in 2024
Clip: 12/13/2023 | 5m 32sVideo has Closed Captions
Interest rates remain unchanged, but Federal Reserve signals cuts coming in 2024
The Federal Reserve opted to leave interest rates unchanged, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell suggested there may be as many as three rate cuts next year. Powell said rate hikes appear to be over for now and the economy is well positioned for a so-called "soft landing." Stephanie Sy discussed more with economist Julia Coronado of MacroPolicy Perspectives.
Problems with Closed Captions? Closed Captioning Feedback
Problems with Closed Captions? Closed Captioning Feedback
Major corporate funding for the PBS News Hour is provided by BDO, BNSF, Consumer Cellular, American Cruise Lines, and Raymond James. Funding for the PBS NewsHour Weekend is provided by...

Federal Reserve suggests it may cut interest rates in 2024
Clip: 12/13/2023 | 5m 32sVideo has Closed Captions
The Federal Reserve opted to leave interest rates unchanged, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell suggested there may be as many as three rate cuts next year. Powell said rate hikes appear to be over for now and the economy is well positioned for a so-called "soft landing." Stephanie Sy discussed more with economist Julia Coronado of MacroPolicy Perspectives.
Problems with Closed Captions? Closed Captioning Feedback
How to Watch PBS News Hour
PBS News Hour is available to stream on pbs.org and the free PBS App, available on iPhone, Apple TV, Android TV, Android smartphones, Amazon Fire TV, Amazon Fire Tablet, Roku, Samsung Smart TV, and Vizio.
Providing Support for PBS.org
Learn Moreabout PBS online sponsorshipa third straight time.
But what# also made headlines was today's## announcement suggesting perhaps as# many as three rate cuts next year.
Stephanie Sy has the latest.
STEPHANIE SY: William, Fed Chairman# Jerome Powell was more direct he's been in months in saying rate# hikes appear to be over the economy is well-positioned# for a so-called soft landing.
JEROME POWELL, Federal Reserve Chairman: We are# seeing strong growth that is -- that is -- to be moderating.
We're seeing a labor market that# is coming back into balance by so many me and we're seeing inflation making real progress.# These are the things we have been wanting to see.
We can't know.
We still have a ways to go.
No one# is declaring victory.
That would be premature.
STEPHANIE SY: The Fed raised interest# rates 11 times starting in March of 2022,## but only once since this past May.
I'm joined now by economist Julia# Coronado.
She's the founder of ow n firm, MacroPolicy Perspectives,# and a former economist for the Fed.
So, Julia, let's get right into it.
Do you think we're done with# the series of ra we're done with them?
We have seen# those ra JULIA CORONADO, MacroPolicy Perspectives:# Yes, I think we're done with them.
And,## more importantly, Chair Powell# thinks we're And he didn't quite promise that.
They said# they want to they need to.
But he confirmed that most# of the policymakers on the committee do## not expect any more rate hikes.
And the next# move is now when and by how much to cut rates.
STEPHANIE SY: Right.
And that's the big headline, I think.
I mean, you probably expected that the pause in# interest r out of the 19 officials on the committee# agreed with a projection that the policy## rate will be lower by the end of next year# by three-quarters of a percentage point.
What was your reaction to that statement?
JULIA CORONADO: Yes, so it was a little bit# than we were expecting.
We thought they might# show just two rate cuts.
They showed three.
And the market is priced for more rate# cuts than that.
And Chair Powell did## not push back on that.
When he was asked, do# the markets have it wrong, he basically said,## we don't know yet, but we're going to follow# the data, and if inflation continues to come## in at these lower run rates, then# we can go maybe a little bit more.
STEPHANIE SY: But inflation is# still running, Julia, at 3 percent.
And when I talk to Americans, they still complain# about the cost of dining o rent and insurance.
Have we yet to see the full# impact of higher borrowing costs and inflation?
JULIA CORONADO: That's absolutely right.
And, actuall between low consumer sentiment numbers and# really good readings from a macroeconomist## standpoint is that prices are much higher than# they used to be, and people don't like that.
What a soft landing would entail or allow# is for the job market to keep going OK,## people continue to get wage raises, and# that will allow their purchasing power to## catch up.
Things like falling gas prices# also help consumer purchasing power.
So## it will take a little bit of time to catch# up, but the economy is actually adding up## in the right direction, that people# will start to see real wage gains.
They're already seeing real wage# gains, where raises are running at## a faster pace than inflation.
And over# time, it's not that prices are going to## come back down to pre-pandemic, but# your income is going to catch up.
STEPHANIE SY: What about interest# rates?
Will they come down,## and would that be what you expect,# to pre-pandemic levels nex JULIA CORONADO: We will -- the Fed is not in# a rush.
Chair Powell said they're going to## proceed carefully.
And we don't know how much# or how quickly they can cut interest rates.
So they're going to start a sequence of# rate cuts and make sure that the economy## doesn't reaccelerate or, importantly,# inflation reaccelerate.
So they're going## to be calibrating these moves with# the economy, with the incoming data.
Will rates come back all the way down# to pre-pandemic?
Not sure.
That's still## a long way from here, but I'm -- we're# all increasingly confident that rates## will be materially lower at the end# of next year than they are right now.
STEPHANIE SY: And what will the other impacts be# of today's policy statement announcement, Julia?
JULIA CORONADO: So, one thing that we have# started to see with rates coming off the## highs in recent weeks is that applications for# mortgages have started to pick up a little bit.
So they really took a hit when mortgage rates# hit 8 percent.
We have seen them coming down a## little bit.
So that's going to -- we have# seen people respond.
Consumers should see## even lower mortgage rates, given what# we heard from Chair Powell today.
Also,## when you're looking to buy a car, those car# loan rates should start coming down as well.
So, consumers should see -- consumers looking# to make those big-ticket purchases that require## borrowing are going to see a little# bit of relief on the borrowing costs.
STEPHANIE SY: All right, Julia Coronado with## MacroPolicy Perspectives, thank you so# mu JULIA CORONADO: My pleasure.
COP28 nations agree to transition from fossil fuels
Video has Closed Captions
Nations at COP28 agree to transition away from fossil fuels, but loopholes remain (6m 27s)
Drone warfare transforms battle between Ukraine and Russia
Video has Closed Captions
How drone warfare has transformed the battle between Ukraine and Russia (7m 51s)
Impeachment expert breaks down House GOP inquiry into Biden
Video has Closed Captions
Impeachment expert Michael Gerhardt breaks down House GOP inquiry into Biden (10m 53s)
Israeli troops meet renewed resistance from Hamas in Gaza
Video has Closed Captions
Israel meets renewed resistance from Hamas amid pressure to reduce civilian casualties (9m 50s)
The self-driving safety concerns that led to Tesla recall
Video has Closed Captions
The self-driving safety concerns that led to Tesla's recall of 2 million cars (5m 21s)
Providing Support for PBS.org
Learn Moreabout PBS online sponsorshipMajor corporate funding for the PBS News Hour is provided by BDO, BNSF, Consumer Cellular, American Cruise Lines, and Raymond James. Funding for the PBS NewsHour Weekend is provided by...